July 1, 2022

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Will the summer also be a scorcher?

2 min read

Meteorologists are warning of yet another week of potentially record-breaking heat for the Bayou City, which raises the question: Does this early heat wave indicate things will be even hotter this summer?

It doesn’t necessarily, according to meteorologists, but there is another weather phenomenon at play that might mean a hot summer.

Houston’s heat Monday will reach the low 90s by the afternoon, a pattern that repeats itself through mid-next week. Heat index values, or “feels like” temperatures, will easily climb into the triple digits—and already have Monday. Although this week’s battle with dangerous heat is one for the record books, it’s not part of the warmer-than-average summer that Houston can expect this year. 

“It’s not necessarily indicative one way or the other,” said Sean Luchs, meteorologist with the National Weather Service (NWS) outpost in League City. “There are things that can influence specific short-term weather like a heat snap at different levels. Most of them are fairly transient and don’t indicate any broader pattern you might be looking for.”

Heat forecast for Houston through Tuesday is teetering on record-breaking. 

Heat forecast for Houston through Tuesday is teetering on record-breaking. 

National Weather Service

But the Bayou City and a large swath of Southeast Texas have up to a 50 percent chance of seeing warmer-than-average temperatures this summer, according to experts with the NWS Climate Prediction Center. Other parts of the country, including much of the Southwest, have chances up to 70 percent. 

“We are in a La Niña, and that does tend to indicate that temperatures tend to be a little warmer than average,” Luch said. “It’s not necessarily, ‘Oh we got this hot streak at the beginning of May, now the whole summer’s going to be like this.'”

During a period of La Niña, global wind patterns dictate warmer weather for much of the United States, including Houston. 

The heat this week could be dangerous, according to meteorologists. Experts suggest taking frequent breaks and hydrating if you must be outdoors. 

The heat this week could be dangerous, according to meteorologists. Experts suggest taking frequent breaks and hydrating if you must be outdoors. 

Dylan Aguilar/Houston Chronicle

“Even typical summer conditions here in Houston can be pretty dangerous if you overdo it,” Luchs said. “Whether it’s going to be warmer than average or not, we need to be ready for summer and do the usual things to keep heat at bay, and we’ll be good.”


High temperatures will remain in the 90s through at least mid-next week, according to meteorologists. Rain chances also return this weekend. 



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